Monday, August 21, 2017

On the Guha interviewer

In the previously mentioned interview, with Indian historian Ramachandra Guha,  the interviewer, Isaac Chotiner, refers to: "Narendra Modi, a right-wing Hindu demagogue".

Let's settle this systematically.

1. Narendra Modi is certainly a Hindu.





2. Demagogue: (definition) "a political leader who seeks support by appealing to popular desires and prejudices rather than by using rational argument."

I cannot answer for Modi's career as Chief Minister of Gujarat.  But Modi's speeches for the 2014 national campaign are readily available.   If catering to the popular desire not to have dynastic rule (yet another totally unqualified scion of the Nehru family as Prime Minister), the popular desire to have an end to perpetual scandals and crony capitalism, the popular desire to have economic development, then Narendra Modi was a demagogue in that campaign.  Narendra Modi also made it quite clear in his campaign that India could either have Hindu-Muslim fights, or else have economic development.  Modi's slogan for the 2014 campaign was "Sabka Saath, Sabka Vikas" or "Collective Efforts, Inclusive Growth".

If this is demagoguery, may we have more of it.  (see the highlighted term below: "aspirational politics".)

3. Right-wing:  We now have three years of the Modi government, and we know he has stuck to his governing philosophy that he expressed at the beginning of his term.

Why do we need the state? There are five main components:

.. The first is public goods such as defence, police and judiciary.

.. The second is externalities which hurt others, such as pollution. For this, we need a regulatory system.

.. The third is market power, where monopolies need controls.

.. The fourth is information gaps, where you need someone to ensure that medicines are genuine and so on.

.. Last, we need a well-designed welfare and subsidy mechanism to ensure that the bottom of society is protected from deprivation. This especially includes education and health care.

These are five places where we need government.
Most "right-wing" politics rejects three or more of the above.   Also contra the American right-wing -  PM Modi has embraced the Paris Climate Accord.  

If we ask who locked up the opposition parties in jail, censored newspapers, had a program of forced sterilization, had a cult of personality ("Indira is India, India is Indira"), that is the party of the dynasty.   Nobody in PM Modi's party is anywhere remotely close to this.

The last part of "right-wing" that one could raise is on the "caste & class" and the "Hindu-Muslim" issues.  Let us note that PM Modi's party had a resounding victory in the last Uttar Pradesh state elections, e.g., "A pan-caste win for the BJP".

“I do not crave a kingdom, heaven or a second life, all I want is to serve the poor,” he had said at the BJP’s national executive meeting in New Delhi this January. There had been agitation among party MPs on the effects of demonetisation and its possible fallout among traders, the party’s core support base. Mr. Modi’s speech was aimed at convincing his hesitant party that he had been able to persuade the poor to look at the BJP and his own government in a new light.
In Uttar Pradesh, the party has got support from almost all quarters of voters. The only time any party got more seats than the BJP in U.P. was in 1952 and in 1977, when the State was still undivided and sent 85 MPs to the Lok Sabha. The transcendence of the traditional “Bania-Brahmin” label of the BJP, it appears, has happened in these polls.

While the party had won, or was leading in, 182 out of the 225 seats where the upper castes had a significant presence, what was astounding was that it was leading in 75 out of the 90 Dalit-dominated seats. The party even won in seats dominated by the Muslim community. The aspirational politics of the neo-middle class that Mr. Modi had tapped into in 2014, has been broadened in scope in U.P. in 2017 to include the poor.
 Further about the caste and class issue - Narendra Modi was son of railway-side tea vendor, and vended tea himself as a child.  It is his opponents on the Left that refer to that derisively.  Everyone else is very proud of the first Indian Prime Minister born after Independence, and how far he has risen.

I can't speak for attitudes in rural India, but for the politics of the aspirational urban middle class of India - they couldn't care any more for caste in politics than they would of the castes of the Indian cricket team.  What they want is competent governance from whatever quarter that provides them economic growth and improving opportunities for their children.

For the record, this is what Wiki says about Modi's caste:
"Narendra Modi, the 15th Prime Minister of India. Modi belongs to the OBC (Other Backward Class) Modh Ghanchi community, which is a Gujarati caste equivalent of Teli in Odisha, Jammu and Kashmir, UP and Bihar. Modh refers to the town Modehra, from where his caste originated."

It is on Hindu-Muslim issues that PM Modi has performed less than optimally.  There certainly is a small section in the "far-right" of India that agrees with Muhammad Ali Jinnah (founder of Pakistan), that converts to Islam have changed their nationality.   In my opinion, there is a larger section that considers the Muslims of India to be fully Indian, but is irked, sometimes to the point of violence, that (in their view) they don't always exhibit that allegiance.  PM Modi has been often slow to speak up when there are issues (he has spoken up forcefully on occasion, but he could have spoken sooner).  Note that in India "it is the primary duty of the State Governments to prevent, detect, register and investigate crime and prosecute the criminals", and so PM Modi essentially has a bully pulpit, plus the BJP party leadership role to influence state governments run by the BJP, that he could use to greater effect.





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Gautam Menon's avatar

Gautam Menon · 394 weeks ago

On the 'contra' side, I could add that demonetization was a huge error which has set back the Indian economy at least by several years, while hurting the most vulnerable sections of society hugely. I think there is large-scale agreement amount economists regarding the folly of what was done and the blame for this must lie squarely with Modi. In many appointments, such as the posts of vice-chancellors in central universities or heads of centrally funded bodies, the emphasis has been to put in place people whose credentials are minimal, apparently largely because they hold moderate to extreme right-wing views. The consequences of this in the long term are not likely to be good. While - apart from demonetization - Modi cannot perhaps be held directly responsible for some of these actions, there is certainly a view that this is part of this political agenda.
2 replies · active 393 weeks ago
Agreed on vice-chancellors.

Demonetization - the verdict is not in. From depressed real estate prices, it does seem that it has cleared out a lot of black money. As to hurting the most vulnerable sections of society hugely, they are many such in Uttar Pradesh and they had a chance to show their anger if that was the case. They didn't.
From what I understand (admittedly minimal), GST has made it even more complicated to rule on the effect of DeMo. Now on to the next point about which I can claim to know something.

For those whocomplain about Modi's appointments, let me ask:

(a) Give us examples and tell us who got sidelined. If not, this is just another smear practiced by the Indian Left for decades now.
(b) Why have these people been silent about the constant decline in the standards - academic and otherwise - of "pre-eminent" institutions like the IIT's? If you are interested, I can give you several examples; many of my friends work in IIT's now.
(c) As for the Universities, the less said the better. I come from a city which boasts of one of India's oldest Universities. But for close to 60 years now, the academic scene has been subject to systematic ethnic cleansing in the name of social justice. Did you hear anyone complain about the "long term" fallout? In fact we are now in the long term and the results are plain as day. Practically no student (school or college) from my great state ever passes competitive examinations held at the national level. When I went to grad school (in one of India's "premier central institutions"), there were at least half a dozen of us (amongst 20) who were from my state. Nowadays, you will be lucky to find one. One professor (in this University) with whom I worked some years ago on a project told me that 30 lakhs (the rate in 2011) will fetch you a PhD degree - the topic of dissertation, supervisor, committee, everything will be fixed. You just need to show up at the viva voce. But the professors in another "premier" Institute across the road from this University's Science campus are more interested in sending mass emails about "Brahmanism" and "teaching the Brahmins a lesson". Now tell me, why should I take those who shed crocodile tears about Modi's VC appointments seriously?

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