Monday, December 28, 2009

Krugman's Zero Decade

Prof. Krugman suggests that 2000-2009 be called the Big Zero decade. "It was a decade in which nothing good happened, and none of the optimistic things we were supposed to believe turned out to be true."

So here’s what Mr. Summers — and, to be fair, just about everyone in a policy-making position at the time — believed in 1999: America has honest corporate accounting; this lets investors make good decisions, and also forces management to behave responsibly; and the result is a stable, well-functioning financial system.

What percentage of all this turned out to be true? Zero.

PS: For instance, NYT: Banks that bundled bad debt also bet against it

“The simultaneous selling of securities to customers and shorting them because they believed they were going to default is the most cynical use of credit information that I have ever seen,” said Sylvain R. Raynes, an expert in structured finance at R & R Consulting in New York. “When you buy protection against an event that you have a hand in causing, you are buying fire insurance on someone else’s house and then committing arson.”